Sea Level Rise Misconceptions in Broward County, FL

Global climate change stressors downscale to specific local vulnerabilities, thus requiring tailored adaptation strategies. Southeast Florida is uniquely vulnerable in terms of exposure to sea level rise due to low-lying porous limestone geology, high-valued coastal properties, treasured ecosystems, and dense populations at risk. Coastal populations are particularly at risk due to erosion, inundation and storm surge, but interior populations are also susceptible to rising water tables and extended periods of inundation amplified by SLR. Robust SLR adaptation options require significant economic costs that people may not be willing to pay for if they do not understand their real risk. If perceived risk does not adequately line up with actual risk, the necessary strategies may not be implemented.
<br>This study aims to compare perceived risk to actual risk to sea level rise in Broward County, FL. Perceived risk of residents, measured via an online survey, was layered over actual risk in terms of flooding, storm surge, and loss of property. Using GIS, a coastal vulnerability index was constructed for the actual risk, and principal component analysis identified the key factors influencing perceived risk. Results show where risk is underestimated, realistic, or overestimated, quantified both spatially and demographically. The concerns of residents are misaligned with the true vulnerability on many impacts, while others were very accurately understood. There are many opportunities for resilience that require preparation and adaptation. The first step to solving a problem is acknowledging that it exists. Where should outreach be targeted for increasing awareness?