EVOLVING RESPONSE OF THE WOOD STORK (MYCTERIA AMERICANA) TO URBANIZATION AND HYDROLOGICAL CHANGE IN THE UNITED STATES

Urbanization and land development, climate change, pollution, the spread of invasive species, and sea level rise are unprecedented challenges that have led to 25% of avian species worldwide facing an elevated risk of extinction. Under rapidly changing environmental conditions, traditional population models are not ideal because they typically assume that demographic parameters are static in order to estimate the probability of species extinction over a chosen timeframe. This assumption disregards species’ potential to adapt to environmental change; adaptations which could alter not only a species’ extinction outlook but also its legal protection status. The goal of my PhD research is to re-evaluate the risk of extinction of one threatened species, the Wood Stork (Mycteria americana), by accounting for potential adaptation in the context of planned and predicted changes in the southeastern United States. Since the 1970s, Wood Storks have shifted the timing of their breeding season, expanded their range northward and into novel habitats in urban areas, and begun consuming non-native fishes. I investigate these observations by comparing the physiology and diet of Wood Storks nesting in the historical core of their U.S. range (tree islands in the flooded Everglades marsh) with storks occupying novel habitats in urban and temperate locations. Faster growth rate, improved body condition, and increased survival by nestlings in urban areas would be evidence that colonies on the leading edge of the species’ range may be capable of sustaining growth of the whole population. In a third and final chapter, I forecast nest abundance and distribution patterns in the entirety of the U.S. range given various hydrological scenarios. Increased Wood Stork population size and stability are recovery criteria which must be met before the species can qualify for removal from the federal Endangered Species List. More broadly, understanding Wood Stork response to human development in the Everglades illuminates general patterns in avian species response to extreme changes in landscape, and could serve as a framework for proactively incorporating evolutionary potential into the framework of Endangered Species Act recovery in other species which have a high adaptive capacity.