Population projection methods: A critique for minor civil divisions

This paper presents a comprehensive population projection framework for small area population estimates and projections. Interested professionals can learn a progression of research tasks and considerations that will lead to the development of a reliable projection model. This monograph offers a range of technical aspects from simple non-component to more complex component methodologies. The idiosyncrasies of small area projections will be emphasized. There exists a significant demand for simple, relevant substate population projections. Local public and private planning sectors have suffered from the irrelevance of national projection models. This thesis illuminates the data requirements, techniques and practical considerations in the choice of a population projection model. Local government's comprehensive plans, according to Florida law, must analyze existing conditions and project future needs based on population projections. Many pragmatic applications of population projections can lead to the effective implementation of comprehensive plans.